Poll Project USA

PPUSA Polling Aggregation & Insights

Race Ratings

In this section, you will find our most up-to-date race ratings for the 2022 Midterm Elections for Governor and Senate.

Our race ratings are updated multiple times per year, typically seasonally. Our final ratings for both Governor and Senate will be released the day before Election Day.

As these ratings get updated throughout the year, you’ll be able to view a history of how they changed over time.

What Are Race Ratings?

Race Ratings are characterizations made to signify how competitive an election might be, and use a combination of factors including, but not limited to: polling, fundraising, candidate quality, overall electoral environment, partisan fundamentals, momentum, issue priority, etc.

Most race forecasters use a form of the following scale:
Safe D | Likely D | Lean D | Tossup | Lean R | Likely R | Safe R

Tilt ratings (Tilt D / Tilt R) are occasionally used to signify extremely close races where one candidate/party has the slightest of edges, or as a tiebreaker to pick a winner of a Tossup/Too Close To Call race.